A Business at a Glance
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GEO GROUP INC
GEO
$4.3B
Mkt Cap
$30.92
-0.48%
GEO GROUP INC (GEO) has a current P/E ratio of 17.0, compared to its historical median P/E of 11.7. The stock is currently considered Expensive based on its historical valuation range.
GEO GROUP INC (GEO) has a 5-year average return on invested capital (ROIC) of 7.1%. This is below average and may indicate limited pricing power.
GEO GROUP INC (GEO) has a market capitalization of $4.1B. It is classified as a mid-cap stock.
GEO GROUP INC (GEO) does not currently pay a regular dividend. However, the company returns capital to shareholders through share buybacks, with a buyback yield of 2.20%.
Based on historical P/E analysis, GEO GROUP INC (GEO) appears expensive. The current P/E of 17.0 is 45% above its historical median of 11.7. The estimated fair value CAGR (P/E method) is -10.8%.
GEO GROUP INC (GEO) operates in the General Bldg Contractors - Residential Bldgs industry, within the Industrials sector.
GEO GROUP INC (GEO) reported annual revenue of $2.6 billion in its most recent fiscal year, based on SEC EDGAR filings.
As used in this report, the terms “we,” “us,” “our,” “GEO” and the “Company” refer to The GEO Group, Inc., its consolidated subsidiaries and its unconsolidated affiliates, unless otherwise expressly stated or the context otherwise requires. We specialize in the ownership, leasing and management of secure facilities, processing centers and reentry facilities and the provision of community-based services in the United States, Australia and South Africa. We own, lease and operate a broad range of secure facilities including maximum, medium and minimum-security facilities, processing centers, as well as community-based reentry facilities. We develop new facilities based on contract awards, using our project development expertise and experience to design, construct and finance what we believe are state-of-the-art facilities. We provide innovative technologies, industry-leading monitoring services, and evidence-based supervision and treatment programs for community-based programs.
| Segment | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Owned and Leased: Secure Services | $1.13B | $1.11B | $1.14B | $1.21B | $1.39B | 53% |
Managed Only | $579M | $522M | $577M | $612M | $643M | 24% |
Electronic Monitoring Services and Other Reentry | $365M | $589M | $529M | $440M | $436M | 17% |
Owned and Leased: Community-based | $151M | $156M | $167M | $164M | $164M | 6% |
Owned and Leased: Youth Services | $34M | — | — | — | — | — |
| Metric | TTM | FY2025 | FY2024 | FY2023 | FY2022 | FY2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 2.7B | 2.6B | 2.4B | 2.4B | 2.4B | 2.3B |
| Net Income | 273M | 254M | 30M | 89M | 142M | 70M |
| EPS | $1.98 | $1.82 | $0.22 | $0.72 | $1.17 | $0.58 |
| Free Cash Flow | -31M | -125M | 164M | 205M | 198M | 213M |
| ROIC | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 6.1% |
| Gross Margin | - | 45.3% | 48.6% | 49.9% | 50.8% | 48.6% |
| Debt/Equity | 1.06 | 1.10 | 1.28 | 1.38 | 1.70 | 2.71 |
| Dividends/Share | $0.00 | - | - | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.25 |
| Operating Income | 286M | 257M | 310M | 352M | 384M | 288M |
| Operating Margin | 10.5% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 14.6% | 16.2% | 12.8% |
| ROE | 18.2% | 17.9% | 2.3% | 7.2% | 13.3% | 7.5% |
| Shares Outstanding | 134M | 140M | 136M | 124M | 122M | 121M |
| Metric | 2017 | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Income Statement | |||||||||||||
| Revenue | 1.7B | 1.8B | 2.2B | 2.3B | 2.3B | 2.5B | 2.4B | 2.3B | 2.4B | 2.4B | 2.4B | 2.6B | 2.7B |
| Gross Margin | 44.0% | 45.0% | 42.3% | 45.3% | 44.5% | 43.9% | 44.0% | 48.6% | 50.8% | 49.9% | 48.6% | 45.3% | N/A |
| R&D | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| SG&A | 115M | 137M | 149M | 190M | 185M | 186M | 193M | 204M | 197M | 191M | 213M | 236M | 239M |
| EBIT | 235M | 236M | 266M | 248M | 265M | 303M | 229M | 288M | 384M | 352M | 310M | 257M | 286M |
| Op. Margin | 13.9% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 16.2% | 14.6% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 10.5% |
| Net Income | 144M | 139M | 149M | 146M | 145M | 167M | 113M | 70M | 142M | 89M | 30M | 254M | 273M |
| Net Margin | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 9.7% | 10.0% |
| Non-Recurring | -490K | 466K | -394K | -1.5M | -4.2M | -2.7M | 14M | 5.5M | 32M | 4.7M | -2.9M | 232M | 232M |
| Returns on Capital | |||||||||||||
| ROIC | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% |
| ROE | 13.9% | 13.6% | 15.0% | 13.5% | 13.0% | 16.4% | 11.8% | 7.5% | 13.3% | 7.2% | 2.3% | 17.9% | 18.2% |
| ROA | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% |
| Cash Flow | |||||||||||||
| Op. Cash Flow | 203M | 142M | -28M | 381M | 274M | 338M | 442M | 283M | 288M | 278M | 242M | 73M | 158M |
| Free Cash Flow | 203M | 25M | -110M | 233M | 79M | 221M | 333M | 213M | 198M | 205M | 164M | -125M | -31M |
| Owner Earnings | 97M | 24M | -156M | 237M | 126M | 185M | 283M | 128M | 139M | 137M | 98M | -83M | -737K |
| CapEx | 0 | 118M | 82M | 148M | 196M | 117M | 109M | 69M | 90M | 73M | 79M | 198M | 188M |
| Maint. CapEx | 96M | 107M | 115M | 124M | 126M | 131M | 135M | 135M | 133M | 126M | 126M | 132M | 134M |
| Growth CapEx | N/A | 11M | 0 | 24M | 69M | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 65M | 55M |
| D&A | 96M | 107M | 115M | 124M | 126M | 131M | 135M | 135M | 133M | 126M | 126M | 132M | 134M |
| CapEx/OCF | N/A | N/A | N/A | 38.9% | 71.3% | 34.7% | 24.6% | 24.6% | 30.4% | 26.3% | 32.5% | 272.0% | 119.4% |
| Capital Allocation | |||||||||||||
| Dividends Paid | 170M | 187M | 195M | 227M | 229M | 233M | 216M | 30M | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dividend Yield | 18.1% | 11.9% | 13.7% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 16.3% | 3.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Share Buybacks | 1.8M | 2.8M | 0 | 0 | 95M | 0 | 9.0M | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 91M | 91M |
| Buyback Yield | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | 5.3% | N/A | 0.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | 4.0% | 2.2% |
| Stock-Based Comp | 8.9M | 12M | 13M | 20M | 22M | 22M | 24M | 19M | 16M | 15M | 18M | 24M | 25M |
| Debt Repayment | 678M | 312M | 934M | 1.1B | 282M | 513M | 816M | 360M | 681M | 208M | 1.9B | 322M | 322M |
| Balance Sheet | |||||||||||||
| Net Debt | 1.5B | 2.3B | 2.6B | 2.4B | 3.2B | 2.4B | 1.7B | 2.1B | 1.9B | 1.7B | 1.6B | 1.6B | 1.5B |
| Cash & Equiv. | 41M | 60M | 68M | 81M | 31M | 32M | 284M | 506M | 95M | 94M | 77M | 69M | 83M |
| Long-Term Debt | 1.5B | 1.9B | 1.9B | 2.2B | 2.4B | 2.4B | 1.9B | 2.6B | 1.9B | 1.7B | 1.7B | 1.6B | 1.6B |
| Debt/Equity | 1.48 | 2.34 | 2.76 | 2.07 | 3.10 | 2.44 | 2.15 | 2.71 | 1.70 | 1.38 | 1.28 | 1.10 | 1.06 |
| Interest Coverage | 2.7 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 2.2 | 2.3 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| Equity | 1.0B | 1.0B | 975M | 1.2B | 1.0B | 997M | 913M | 976M | 1.2B | 1.3B | 1.3B | 1.5B | 1.5B |
| Total Assets | 3.0B | 3.5B | 3.7B | 4.2B | 4.3B | 4.3B | 4.5B | 4.5B | 3.8B | 3.7B | 3.6B | 3.8B | 3.8B |
| Total Liabilities | 2.0B | 2.5B | 2.8B | 3.0B | 3.2B | 3.3B | 3.5B | 3.6B | 2.6B | 2.4B | 2.3B | 2.3B | 37M |
| Intangibles | 155M | 224M | 204M | 255M | 232M | 210M | 188M | 166M | 148M | 136M | 127M | 117M | 115M |
| Retained Earnings | 206M | 159M | 113M | 32M | -53M | -120M | -223M | -176M | -4.2M | 103M | 40M | 294M | 333M |
| Working Capital | 123M | 160M | 194M | 210M | -103M | 146M | 300M | 565M | 118M | 91M | 160M | 362M | 301M |
| Current Assets | 377M | 438M | 698M | 580M | 602M | 542M | 711M | 944M | 555M | 529M | 500M | 719M | 699M |
| Current Liabilities | 254M | 279M | 504M | 370M | 705M | 396M | 411M | 379M | 437M | 437M | 340M | 357M | 398M |
| Per Share Data | |||||||||||||
| EPS | 1.98 | 1.25 | 1.33 | 1.21 | 1.20 | 1.40 | 0.94 | 0.58 | 1.17 | 0.72 | 0.22 | 1.82 | 1.98 |
| Owner EPS | 1.34 | 0.21 | -1.39 | 1.96 | 1.04 | 1.55 | 2.35 | 1.06 | 1.14 | 1.11 | 0.72 | -0.59 | -0.01 |
| Book Value | 14.39 | 9.02 | 8.72 | 9.92 | 8.61 | 8.38 | 7.59 | 8.04 | 9.58 | 10.44 | 9.84 | 10.77 | 11.20 |
| Cash Flow/Share | 2.79 | 1.27 | -0.25 | 3.15 | 2.27 | 2.84 | 3.67 | 2.33 | 2.37 | 2.24 | 1.78 | 0.52 | 3.04 |
| Dividends/Share | 2.33 | 1.67 | 1.73 | 1.88 | 1.88 | 1.92 | 1.78 | 0.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | N/A | N/A | 0.00 |
| Shares Out. | 72.7M | 111.6M | 111.8M | 120.9M | 120.9M | 119.0M | 120.2M | 121.4M | 121.8M | 123.8M | 135.7M | 139.8M | 133.7M |
| Valuation | |||||||||||||
| P/E Ratio | 11.5 | 9.2 | 11.7 | 13.8 | 12.4 | 10.2 | 9.3 | 13.3 | 9.5 | 15.6 | 125.7 | 9.0 | 15.7 |
| P/FCF | 5.5 | 52.4 | N/A | 8.7 | 22.8 | 7.7 | 3.2 | 4.4 | 6.8 | 6.8 | 23.0 | N/A | N/A |
| EV/EBIT | 13.1 | 13.0 | 15.1 | 16.5 | 18.1 | 13.6 | 13.5 | 9.3 | 9.0 | 9.4 | 18.0 | 14.7 | 19.7 |
| Price/Book | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 2.8 |
| Price/Sales | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1.5 |
| FCF Yield | 12.2% | 1.9% | -6.3% | 11.5% | 4.4% | 13.0% | 31.5% | 20.8% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 4.1% | -5.5% | -0.7% |
| Market Cap | 1.7B | 1.3B | 1.7B | 2.0B | 1.8B | 1.7B | 1.1B | 1.0B | 1.6B | 1.7B | 4.0B | 2.3B | 4.1B |
| Avg. Price | 12.94 | 14.06 | 12.70 | 19.43 | 17.46 | 15.28 | 11.00 | 7.51 | 7.56 | 8.62 | 15.47 | 23.90 | 30.92 |
| Year-End Price | 15.23 | 11.55 | 15.57 | 16.73 | 14.87 | 14.32 | 8.78 | 7.69 | 11.08 | 11.25 | 27.66 | 16.31 | 30.92 |
GEO GROUP INC passes 2 of 9 quality checks, indicating weak fundamentals.
GEO GROUP INC trades at 17.0x trailing earnings, compared to its 15-year median P/E of 11.7x, suggesting it is currently Expensive relative to its historical range. The company's 5-year average ROIC is 7.1% with a gross margin of 48.6%. Total shareholder yield (buybacks) is 2.2%. At current prices, the estimated annualized return to fair value is -7.9%.
GEO GROUP INC (GEO) has a net profit margin of 9.7%. This is a modest margin.
GEO GROUP INC (GEO) generated $-125 million in free cash flow in its most recent fiscal year. Negative free cash flow may indicate heavy investment or operational challenges.
GEO GROUP INC (GEO) has a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.10. This indicates moderate leverage.
GEO GROUP INC (GEO) reported earnings per share (EPS) of $1.82 in its most recent fiscal year.
GEO GROUP INC (GEO) has a return on equity (ROE) of 17.9%. This indicates the company generates strong returns for shareholders.
GEO GROUP INC (GEO) has a 5-year average gross margin of 48.6%. This indicates decent pricing power.
The Ledger Terminal provides 16 years of financial data for GEO GROUP INC (GEO), sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. This includes income statements, balance sheets, cash flow statements, and key financial ratios.
GEO GROUP INC (GEO) has a book value per share of $10.77, based on its most recent annual SEC filing.