A Business at a Glance
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Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc.
OLLI
$4.1B
Mkt Cap
$66.31
+1.64%
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. (OLLI) has a current P/E ratio of 16.9, compared to its historical median P/E of 29.6. The stock is currently considered Cheap based on its historical valuation range.
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. (OLLI) has a 5-year average return on invested capital (ROIC) of 13.6%. This indicates solid capital allocation.
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. (OLLI) has a market capitalization of $4.1B. It is classified as a mid-cap stock.
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. (OLLI) does not currently pay a regular dividend. However, the company returns capital to shareholders through share buybacks, with a buyback yield of 1.27%.
Based on historical P/E analysis, Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. (OLLI) appears cheap. The current P/E of 16.9 is 43% below its historical median of 29.6. The estimated fair value CAGR (P/E method) is 1.4%.
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. (OLLI) operates in the Retail-Variety Stores industry, within the Consumer Defensive sector.
Ollie's Bargain Outlet is America's largest retailer of closeout merchandise and excess inventory, operating a treasure-hunt retail model that offers brand-name household products at prices typically 20–70% below traditional retailers under the "Good Stuff Cheap" banner. The company procures constantly changing merchandise assortments through deep relationships with hundreds of major manufacturers, wholesalers, distributors, and brokers, with brand-name closeout merchandise representing approximately 65% of retail value and non-closeout goods and private label products representing approximately 35%. Ollie's operates a no-frills, semi-lovely warehouse-style store format averaging approximately 33,000 square feet, with 512 stores across 30 states as of February 2024, and has demonstrated consistent financial performance across all economic cycles, geographic regions, population densities, and real estate formats. The company's business model is characterized by positive unit economics and strong returns, with store expansion driven by organic backfilling of existing markets and contiguous-state expansion leveraging brand awareness and infrastructure; management's latest real estate feasibility study concludes the company could operate as many as 1,300 stores nationwide. The closeout industry itself is large, highly fragmented, and growing, fueled by consolidation of retailers and manufacturers globally, which drives larger product flows and increased closeout inventory, while the retail side remains highly fragmented with many independent operators.
【Accelerating unit growth and loyalty expansion】 Management remains committed to delivering double-digit annual unit growth, with 75 new store openings targeted for fiscal 2026 and confidence in sustaining this pace through 2027, supported by improved planning, execution, and the warm-box dynamic in new locations. The company is prioritizing expansion of its Ollie's Army loyalty program, which has driven better-than-expected earnings growth, alongside continued investment in supply chain capacity through Texas and Illinois distribution center expansions to support deal flow and merchandise access. Management has established a long-term growth algorithm targeting 2% comparable store sales growth and 40.5% gross margin as sustainable baselines, with mid-teens earnings-per-share growth expected through a combination of unit growth, comp growth, and share repurchases at approximately 50% of free cash flow. The company is investing in in-store customer experience improvements, dynamic marketing optimization, IT capabilities, and AI-enabled solutions while maintaining disciplined expense control and reinvesting excess cash flow above the 40.5% gross margin target back into the value proposition.
| Metric | Target | Period |
|---|---|---|
| Net sales | $2.98 billion–$3.00 billion | FY2026 |
| Comparable store sales growth | 2% | FY2026 |
| Gross margin | 40.7% | FY2026 |
| Operating income | $340 million–$348 million | FY2026 |
| Adjusted net income per share | $4.45–$4.55 | FY2026 |
| New store openings | 75 stores | FY2026 |
| Capital expenditures | $103 million–$113 million | FY2026 |
Net sales (FY2026): “net sales of $2.98 billion- $3 billion”
Comparable store sales growth (FY2026): “Our comp target remains a + 2% for the full fiscal year”
Gross margin (FY2026): “gross margin in the range of 40.7%”
Operating income (FY2026): “operating income of $340 million- $348 million”
Adjusted net income per share (FY2026): “adjusted net income per share of $271 million- $277 million, and $4.45- $4.55, respectively”
New store openings (FY2026): “Our full year guidance includes 75 new store openings”
Generated solely from the company's own reports listed below — not from third-party data. Hallucination risk is low. · Sources: 10-K, Q4 FY2027 Earnings Call, Q3 FY2027 Earnings Call, Q2 FY2027 Earnings Call, Q1 FY2027 Earnings Call
| Metric | TTM | FY2026 | FY2025 | FY2024 | FY2023 | FY2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 2.5B | 2.6B | 2.3B | 2.1B | 1.8B | 1.8B |
| Net Income | 225M | 241M | 200M | 181M | 103M | 157M |
| EPS | $3.48 | $3.89 | $3.23 | $2.92 | $1.64 | $2.43 |
| Free Cash Flow | 182M | 195M | 107M | 130M | 63M | 10M |
| ROIC | 15.9% | 14.5% | 13.7% | 14.2% | 9.2% | 16.3% |
| Gross Margin | 40.7% | 40.5% | 40.3% | 39.6% | 35.9% | 38.9% |
| Debt/Equity | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Dividends/Share | $0.00 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Operating Income | 277M | 298M | 250M | 228M | 131M | 205M |
| Operating Margin | 11.1% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 7.2% | 11.7% |
| ROE | 12.6% | 13.4% | 12.5% | 12.6% | 7.8% | 12.0% |
| Shares Outstanding | 61M | 62M | 62M | 62M | 63M | 65M |
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. passes 3 of 9 quality checks, indicating weak fundamentals.
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. trades at 16.9x trailing earnings, compared to its 15-year median P/E of 29.6x, suggesting it is currently Cheap relative to its historical range. On a free-cash-flow basis, the stock trades at 23.5x vs a median of 49.2x. The company's 5-year average ROIC is 13.6% with a gross margin of 39.0%. Total shareholder yield (buybacks) is 1.3%. At current prices, the estimated annualized return to fair value is +2.0%.
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. (OLLI) reported annual revenue of $2.6 billion in its most recent fiscal year, based on SEC EDGAR filings.
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. (OLLI) has a net profit margin of 9.1%. This is a modest margin.
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. (OLLI) generated $195 million in free cash flow in its most recent fiscal year. Positive free cash flow supports dividends, buybacks, and debt reduction.
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. (OLLI) has a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.00. This indicates a conservatively financed balance sheet.
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. (OLLI) reported earnings per share (EPS) of $3.89 in its most recent fiscal year.
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. (OLLI) has a return on equity (ROE) of 13.4%. This indicates moderate shareholder returns.
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. (OLLI) has a 5-year average gross margin of 39.0%. This indicates decent pricing power.
The Ledger Terminal provides 13 years of financial data for Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. (OLLI), sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. This includes income statements, balance sheets, cash flow statements, and key financial ratios.
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. (OLLI) has a book value per share of $30.53, based on its most recent annual SEC filing.
Based on recent SEC filings and earnings disclosures, Management remains committed to delivering double-digit annual unit growth, with 75 new store openings targeted for fiscal 2026 and confidence in sustaining this pace through 2027, supported by improved planning, execution, and the warm-box dynamic in new locations. The company is prioritizing expansion of its Ollie's Army loyalty program, which has driven better-than-expected earnings growth, alongside continued investment in supply chain capacity through Texas and Illinois distribution center expansions to support deal flow and merchandise access. Management has established a long-term growth algorithm targeting 2% comparable store sales growth and 40.5% gross margin as sustainable baselines, with mid-teens earnings-per-share growth expected through a combination of unit growth, comp growth, and share repurchases at approximately 50% of free cash flow. The company is investing in in-store customer experience improvements, dynamic marketing optimization, IT capabilities, and AI-enabled solutions while maintaining disciplined expense control and reinvesting excess cash flow above the 40.5% gross margin target back into the value proposition.
Based on recent SEC filings and earnings calls, Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. (OLLI) has provided the following forward guidance: Net sales: $2.98 billion–$3.00 billion (FY2026); Comparable store sales growth: 2% (FY2026); Gross margin: 40.7% (FY2026); Operating income: $340 million–$348 million (FY2026); Adjusted net income per share: $4.45–$4.55 (FY2026), plus 2 additional metrics.
Capital expenditures (FY2026): “capital expenditures are expected in the range of $103 million-$113 million”