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Energy Sector Report

Market Cap: $5.5T
Stocks: 159
Median P/E: 10.1x
Median ROIC: 8.5%

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR filings. Report refreshed weekly.

The Energy sector encompasses companies engaged in exploration, production, refining, and distribution of oil, natural gas, and renewable energy. The sector is characterized by capital intensity, commodity price sensitivity, and long investment horizons. Cash flow generation varies dramatically with commodity cycles, making balance sheet management and capital discipline critical differentiators.

Performance Dashboard

PeriodSector (MCW)Sector (Median)
1 Day+1.5%+1.4%
1 Week+1.8%+2.0%
1 Month
3 Months
6 Months
YTD+1.5%+1.3%
1 Year+714.6%+28.4%
3 Years+61.6%+31.4%
5 Years+202.8%+88.5%

Today's Breadth: 80 advancing · 30 declining · 8 flat

Valuation Summary

MetricMedianP25P75vs 5Y Avg
P/E10.1x2.3x20.2x+9%
P/B1.1x0.5x1.9x-12%
P/S0.8x0.1x1.9x
P/FCF5.2x2.2x11.9x
EV/EBITDA5.4x3.9x8.3x
EV/EBIT11.1x7.6x16.8x
Earnings Yield
6.4%
FCF Yield
9.0%
Below Fair Value
28% of stocks

Profitability Profile

Margins

MetricMedian5Y AvgP25P75
Gross Margin25.7%27.8%15.0%42.4%
Operating Margin11.0%2.6%24.7%
Net Margin6.6%5.3%0.0%15.0%
FCF Margin14.4%4.0%40.3%

Returns on Capital

MetricMedian5Y AvgP25P75
ROE6.7%0.0%14.3%
ROA2.6%-1.2%6.4%
ROIC8.5%10.0%1.5%12.3%

Growth Metrics

Metric1Y3Y CAGR5Y CAGR
Revenue-1.1%+1.2%+12.8%
EPS0.0%-20.4%+18.6%
Free Cash Flow+6.1%-7.2%+14.9%

All values represent sector median growth rates.

Balance Sheet Health

Debt / Equity
0.5x
Net Debt / EBITDA
1.1x
Interest Coverage
3.2x
Current Ratio
1.3x

Altman Z-Score

Safe (>3): 28 (19%)
Gray (1.8–3): 41 (28%)
Distress (<1.8): 79 (53%)

Piotroski F-Score

Strong (7–9): 36 (23%)
Moderate (4–6): 89 (56%)
Weak (0–3): 33 (21%)

Top Companies

Symbol#Mkt CapP/EEV/EBITDAROICNet MgnRev Gr.Div YldYTDQual.
EQNR-OL1$1.0T84.2x18.4x42.1%8.5%-3.2%1.1%6/9
BP2$765.6B430.7x19.0x10.2%0.7%-1.1%0.9%-2.2%1/9
XOM3$657.1B17.7x8.1x10.6%8.7%-5.0%3.4%+3.4%5/9
CVX4$355.8B22.4x7.6x6.7%6.5%-6.8%4.6%+0.5%5/9
SHELL-AS5$231.1B10.3x3.8x11.6%6.7%-6.1%4.6%3/9
SHEL-L6$204.3B9.0x3.4x9.5%6.7%-6.1%5.3%3/9
TTE-PA7$183.8B7.9x3.8x14.0%7.3%-9.5%6.3%3/9
ENOG-L8$161.2B256.6x8.1%14.3%+34.4%0.1%3/9
COP9$155.5B14.3x5.3x10.3%13.6%+7.7%3.5%+2.2%6/9
BPAQF10$125.2B6.5%0.7%-1.1%+0.4%1/9
EQNR11$111.3B28.0%8.5%-3.2%+7.5%4/9
SUBC-OL12$92.2B267.8x49.9x7.9%3.0%+14.4%0.3%4/9
BP-L13$91.0B3.4x10.5%0.0%-1.1%8.4%4/9
E14$82.4B114.4%+6.8%1/9
EIPAF15$80.5B114.4%+7.2%1/9
VLO16$75.1B21.5x8.3x9.1%1.9%-5.5%2.8%+0.1%5/9
EOG17$74.8B11.2x5.3x19.4%22.0%-4.5%3.9%+2.0%6/9
SLB18$74.5B16.0x8.5x11.8%9.4%-1.6%3.0%+3.5%5/9
MPC19$69.0B12.3x6.7x15.7%3.0%-3.7%2.3%+1.4%5/9
PSX20$65.5B11.7x7.3x10.8%3.2%-6.1%3.8%-0.8%3/9

Industry Composition

IndustryStocksMarket Cap%
Petroleum Refining15$2.5T44.4%
Oil & Gas Integrated8$1.8T31.6%
Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas75$732.7B13.2%
Oil & Gas Exploration & Production14$240.5B4.3%
Oil & Gas Equipment & Services10$154.7B2.8%
Oil & Gas Field Services, Nec20$127.5B2.3%
Drilling Oil & Gas Wells9$34.9B0.6%
Coal2$13.2B0.2%
Uranium1$9.1B0.2%
Miscellaneous Products Of Petroleum & Coal2$6.5B0.1%
Oil & Gas Midstream1$5.1B0.1%
Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing1$3.7B0.1%
Oil & Gas Field Exploration Services1$84M0.0%

Quality Distribution

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9

Quality Score (0-9)

High Quality (7+)
1%
Median Piotroski F
5/9
Profitable Years
5 of 10

Dividends & Shareholder Returns

Paying Dividends
49%
Median Div Yield
3.5%
Median Buyback Yield
0.6%
Shareholder Yield
2.6%
Payout Ratio
44.0%
Div Growth (3Y)
9.8%
Div Growth (5Y)
10.0%

Strengths & Weaknesses

Strengths

  • +[Cash Flow]Robust cash generation improvement with a median 5-year FCF CAGR of 14.9%, supporting capital returns and reinvestment capacity.
  • +[Growth]Strong secular growth with a median 5-year revenue CAGR of 12.8%, outpacing nominal GDP.

Weaknesses

  • [Financial Health]53.4% of companies fall in the Altman Z-Score distress zone (<1.8), indicating elevated bankruptcy risk within the sector.
  • [Leverage]Tight interest coverage at 3.2x, leaving limited cushion for debt servicing if earnings decline.
  • [Quality]Only 1.3% of companies score 7+ on the quality checklist, reflecting structural challenges in achieving consistent returns across the sector.
  • [Valuation]Only 27.7% of companies trade below estimated fair value, suggesting limited margin of safety at current prices.

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