A Business at a Glance
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MATTEL INC /DE/
MAT
$4.6B
Mkt Cap
$14.34
+0.70%
MATTEL INC /DE/ (MAT) has a current P/E ratio of 11.6, compared to its historical median P/E of 16.3. The stock is currently considered Fair based on its historical valuation range.
MATTEL INC /DE/ (MAT) has a 5-year average return on invested capital (ROIC) of 15.8%. This indicates strong capital allocation and a potential competitive advantage.
MATTEL INC /DE/ (MAT) has a market capitalization of $6.3B. It is classified as a mid-cap stock.
MATTEL INC /DE/ (MAT) does not currently pay a regular dividend. However, the company returns capital to shareholders through share buybacks, with a buyback yield of 10.11%.
Based on historical P/E analysis, MATTEL INC /DE/ (MAT) appears fair. The current P/E of 11.6 is 29% below its historical median of 16.3. The estimated fair value CAGR (P/E method) is 16.5%.
MATTEL INC /DE/ (MAT) operates in the Dolls & Stuffed Toys industry, within the Consumer Cyclical sector.
MATTEL INC /DE/ (MAT) reported annual revenue of $5.3 billion in its most recent fiscal year, based on SEC EDGAR filings.
Mattel is a leading global play and family entertainment company that owns an iconic portfolio of brands organized into four product categories: Dolls (Barbie, American Girl, Monster High, Polly Pocket), Vehicles (Hot Wheels, Matchbox, Cars), Infant/Toddler/Preschool (Fisher-Price, Thomas & Friends), and Action Figures/Building Sets/Games/Other (Masters of the Universe, MEGA, UNO, Jurassic World, Minecraft, WWE, Toy Story, Star Wars). The company operates through North America and International segments, selling across all categories with some products adapted for specific markets. Mattel's business model centers on IP-driven play and family entertainment, combining toy manufacturing and sales with expanding entertainment offerings including film, television, and digital games, supported by licensing agreements with major entertainment companies. The company pursues a brand-centric strategy focused on breakthrough toy innovation, direct-to-consumer expansion through first-party data and retail development, content creation and licensing in film/television/publishing, digital play scaling through mobile games self-publishing and the Mattel163 studio, and operational optimization leveraging artificial intelligence. Mattel's competitive moat derives from its globally recognized brand portfolio, extensive licensing partnerships with major studios, and established distribution relationships across retail channels and direct-to-consumer platforms serving children, families, and adult collectors across North America and international markets.
【Strategic investments driving 2027 acceleration】 Management expects mid-to-high single-digit revenue growth in constant currency for 2027, with strong double-digit growth in adjusted operating income, benefiting from the brand-centric strategy, toy innovation, major partnerships, and returns from 2026 strategic investments in digital games and other capabilities. The company is positioned to benefit from an expanding theatrical slate including Masters of the Universe and Matchbox releases in 2026, with anticipated momentum from digital play including the addition of Mattel163 and self-published mobile game launches. Management remains confident in Barbie's long-term growth trajectory, expecting improving trends driven by new line architecture and product innovation, with the brand anticipated to return to growth in 2027. The company continues to monitor macroeconomic conditions and geopolitical developments, noting that current guidance includes a range of assumptions and scenarios subject to market volatility and potential regulatory actions impacting global trade.
| Metric | Target | Period |
|---|---|---|
| Net sales growth | 3%-6% | FY2026 |
| Adjusted gross margin | approximately 50% | FY2026 |
| Adjusted EPS | $1.27-$1.39 | FY2026 |
| Revenue growth | mid-to-high single-digit | FY2027 |
| Adjusted operating income growth | strong double-digit growth | FY2027 |
Net sales growth (FY2026): “we still expect growth in the range of 3%-6% in constant currency”
Adjusted gross margin (FY2026): “we also continue to expect adjusted gross margin of approximately 50% for the full year”
Adjusted EPS (FY2026): “This results in adjusted EPS guidance in the range of $1.27-$1.39”
Revenue growth (FY2027): “Looking to 2027, we continue to expect mid-to-high single-digit revenue growth in constant currency and strong double-digit growth in adjusted operating income”
Adjusted operating income growth (FY2027): “Looking to 2027, we continue to expect mid-to-high single-digit revenue growth in constant currency and strong double-digit growth in adjusted operating income”
Generated solely from the company's own reports listed below — not from third-party data. Hallucination risk is low. · Sources: 10-K, Q4 FY2025 Earnings Call, Q3 FY2025 Earnings Call, Q2 FY2025 Earnings Call, Q1 FY2025 Earnings Call
| Metric | TTM | FY2025 | FY2024 | FY2023 | FY2022 | FY2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 5.4B | 5.3B | 5.4B | 5.4B | 5.4B | 5.5B |
| Net Income | 499M | 398M | 542M | 214M | 394M | 903M |
| EPS | $1.13 | $1.24 | $1.58 | $0.60 | $1.10 | $2.53 |
| Free Cash Flow | 462M | 543M | 665M | 784M | 337M | 408M |
| ROIC | 11.8% | 13.5% | 17.9% | 9.9% | 14.0% | 23.9% |
| Gross Margin | 48.0% | 48.7% | 50.8% | 47.5% | 45.7% | 48.1% |
| Debt/Equity | 1.11 | 1.04 | 1.03 | 1.08 | 1.13 | 1.64 |
| Dividends/Share | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Operating Income | 497M | 546M | 694M | 562M | 676M | 730M |
| Operating Margin | 9.2% | 10.2% | 12.9% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 13.4% |
| ROE | 23.7% | 17.7% | 24.6% | 10.2% | 21.7% | 82.9% |
| Shares Outstanding | 441M | 321M | 343M | 357M | 358M | 357M |
| Metric | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Income Statement | |||||||||||||
| Revenue | 6.0B | 5.7B | 5.5B | 4.9B | 4.5B | 4.5B | 4.6B | 5.5B | 5.4B | 5.4B | 5.4B | 5.3B | 5.4B |
| Gross Margin | 49.8% | 49.2% | 46.7% | 37.4% | 39.8% | 43.9% | 48.9% | 48.1% | 45.7% | 47.5% | 50.8% | 48.7% | 48.0% |
| R&D | 209M | 218M | 215M | 225M | 205M | 197M | 189M | 189M | 195M | 199M | 194M | 227M | 241M |
| SG&A | 1.6B | 1.5B | 1.4B | 1.5B | 1.5B | 1.4B | 1.3B | 1.4B | 1.3B | 1.5B | 1.5B | 1.5B | 1.5B |
| EBIT | 654M | 541M | 520M | -336M | -234M | 37M | 375M | 730M | 676M | 562M | 694M | 546M | 497M |
| Op. Margin | 10.9% | 9.5% | 9.5% | -6.9% | -5.2% | 0.8% | 8.2% | 13.4% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 10.2% | 9.2% |
| Net Income | 499M | 369M | 313M | -1.1B | -533M | -219M | 124M | 903M | 394M | 214M | 542M | 398M | 499M |
| Net Margin | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | -21.6% | -11.8% | -4.9% | 2.7% | 16.5% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 9.3% |
| Non-Recurring | 0 | 0 | 0 | 42M | 173M | 43M | 12M | 34M | 92M | 63M | 46M | 38M | 38M |
| Returns on Capital | |||||||||||||
| ROIC | 14.1% | 10.9% | 10.5% | -8.5% | -13.9% | 1.3% | 8.7% | 23.9% | 14.0% | 9.9% | 17.9% | 13.5% | 11.8% |
| ROE | 16.1% | 13.2% | 12.4% | -57.5% | -54.8% | -36.5% | 22.1% | 82.9% | 21.7% | 10.2% | 24.6% | 17.7% | 23.7% |
| ROA | 7.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | -16.6% | -9.3% | -4.1% | 2.3% | 15.1% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 7.9% |
| Cash Flow | |||||||||||||
| Op. Cash Flow | 889M | 735M | 595M | -28M | -27M | 168M | 286M | 485M | 443M | 870M | 801M | 593M | 545M |
| Free Cash Flow | 775M | 623M | 454M | -157M | -102M | 118M | 226M | 408M | 337M | 784M | 665M | 543M | 462M |
| Owner Earnings | 588M | 412M | 278M | -370M | -348M | -132M | 32M | 241M | 192M | 609M | 553M | 346M | 303M |
| CapEx | 113M | 112M | 140M | 129M | 75M | 51M | 59M | 77M | 106M | 86M | 135M | 50M | 84M |
| Maint. CapEx | 249M | 265M | 262M | 275M | 272M | 245M | 193M | 184M | 182M | 177M | 168M | 168M | 170M |
| Growth CapEx | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| D&A | 249M | 265M | 262M | 275M | 272M | 245M | 193M | 184M | 182M | 177M | 168M | 168M | 170M |
| CapEx/OCF | 12.7% | 15.2% | 23.6% | N/A | N/A | 36.4% | 20.8% | 15.9% | 24.0% | 9.9% | 16.9% | 18.6% | 15.4% |
| Capital Allocation | |||||||||||||
| Dividends Paid | 515M | 515M | 519M | 312M | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dividend Yield | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Share Buybacks | 177M | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 203M | 400M | 600M | 640M |
| Buyback Yield | 2.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | 3.0% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 10.1% |
| Stock-Based Comp | 52M | 57M | 54M | 67M | 49M | 56M | 60M | 60M | 69M | 83M | 79M | 80M | 73M |
| Debt Repayment | 45M | 0 | 300M | 0 | 750M | 608M | 0 | 1.6B | 250M | 0 | 0 | 600M | 600M |
| Balance Sheet | |||||||||||||
| Net Debt | 1.1B | 1.2B | 1.5B | 2.8B | 2.3B | 2.2B | 2.1B | 1.8B | 1.6B | 1.1B | 946M | 1.1B | 1.5B |
| Cash & Equiv. | 972M | 893M | 870M | 1.1B | 594M | 630M | 762M | 731M | 761M | 1.3B | 1.4B | 1.2B | 866M |
| Long-Term Debt | 2.1B | 1.8B | 2.1B | 2.9B | 2.9B | 2.8B | 2.9B | 2.6B | 2.3B | 2.3B | 2.3B | 2.3B | 2.3B |
| Debt/Equity | 0.71 | 0.80 | 0.97 | 3.07 | 4.15 | 5.60 | 4.68 | 1.64 | 1.13 | 1.08 | 1.03 | 1.04 | 1.11 |
| Interest Coverage | 8.2 | 6.3 | 5.5 | -3.2 | -1.3 | 0.2 | 1.9 | 2.9 | 5.1 | 4.5 | 5.8 | 4.6 | 168.4 |
| Equity | 2.9B | 2.6B | 2.4B | 1.3B | 689M | 509M | 610M | 1.6B | 2.1B | 2.1B | 2.3B | 2.2B | 2.1B |
| Total Assets | 6.7B | 6.5B | 6.5B | 6.2B | 5.2B | 5.3B | 5.5B | 6.4B | 6.2B | 6.4B | 6.5B | 6.6B | 6.3B |
| Total Liabilities | 3.8B | 3.9B | 4.1B | 5.0B | 4.5B | 4.8B | 4.9B | 4.8B | 4.1B | 4.3B | 4.3B | 4.4B | -307M |
| Intangibles | 739M | 700M | 660M | 639M | 588M | 553M | 518M | 477M | 425M | 393M | 361M | 337M | 486M |
| Retained Earnings | 3.9B | 3.7B | 3.5B | 2.2B | 1.6B | 1.4B | 1.6B | 2.5B | 2.8B | 3.1B | 3.6B | 4.0B | 4.1B |
| Working Capital | 2.1B | 1.4B | 1.4B | 1.5B | 1.1B | 971M | 1.1B | 1.3B | 1.5B | 1.8B | 1.8B | 1.7B | 1.3B |
| Current Assets | 3.2B | 3.0B | 2.9B | 3.1B | 2.3B | 2.2B | 2.5B | 2.9B | 2.7B | 3.1B | 3.1B | 3.1B | 2.5B |
| Current Liabilities | 1.1B | 1.6B | 1.5B | 1.6B | 1.2B | 1.3B | 1.4B | 1.6B | 1.2B | 1.3B | 1.3B | 1.5B | 1.2B |
| Per Share Data | |||||||||||||
| EPS | 1.45 | 1.08 | 0.91 | -3.07 | -1.55 | -0.63 | 0.35 | 2.53 | 1.10 | 0.60 | 1.58 | 1.24 | 1.13 |
| Owner EPS | 1.71 | 1.21 | 0.81 | -1.08 | -1.01 | -0.38 | 0.09 | 0.68 | 0.54 | 1.70 | 1.61 | 1.08 | 0.69 |
| Book Value | 8.57 | 7.69 | 7.00 | 3.66 | 2.00 | 1.46 | 1.73 | 4.40 | 5.74 | 6.02 | 6.60 | 6.96 | 4.77 |
| Cash Flow/Share | 2.58 | 2.15 | 1.73 | -0.08 | -0.08 | 0.49 | 0.81 | 1.36 | 1.24 | 2.43 | 2.33 | 1.85 | 1.52 |
| Dividends/Share | 1.52 | 1.52 | 1.52 | 0.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shares Out. | 344.1M | 342.1M | 343.9M | 343.5M | 344.1M | 347.2M | 353.1M | 356.9M | 358.1M | 357.3M | 342.9M | 320.6M | 441.4M |
| Valuation | |||||||||||||
| P/E Ratio | 18.1 | 23.3 | 29.1 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 50.3 | 8.3 | 15.4 | 31.9 | 11.4 | 16.3 | 12.7 |
| P/FCF | 11.7 | 13.8 | 20.0 | N/A | N/A | 40.7 | 27.5 | 18.3 | 18.0 | 8.7 | 9.3 | 12.0 | 13.7 |
| EV/EBIT | 15.6 | 18.1 | 20.3 | N/A | N/A | 161.5 | 20.2 | 11.8 | 10.2 | 11.8 | 8.2 | 11.6 | 15.7 |
| Price/Book | 3.1 | 3.3 | 3.8 | 4.2 | 5.0 | 9.7 | 10.2 | 4.8 | 3.0 | 3.2 | 2.7 | 2.9 | 3.0 |
| Price/Sales | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.2 |
| FCF Yield | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.0% | -3.0% | -3.0% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 7.3% |
| Market Cap | 9.0B | 8.6B | 9.1B | 5.3B | 3.4B | 4.8B | 6.2B | 7.5B | 6.1B | 6.8B | 6.2B | 6.5B | 6.3B |
| Avg. Price | 30.45 | 22.32 | 29.34 | 20.51 | 15.02 | 12.06 | 11.75 | 20.38 | 21.76 | 19.35 | 18.61 | 18.76 | 14.34 |
| Year-End Price | 26.28 | 25.12 | 26.49 | 15.34 | 9.94 | 13.80 | 17.62 | 20.97 | 16.94 | 19.13 | 17.96 | 20.26 | 14.34 |
MATTEL INC /DE/ passes 5 of 9 quality checks, suggesting mixed fundamentals.
MATTEL INC /DE/ trades at 11.6x trailing earnings, compared to its 15-year median P/E of 16.3x, suggesting it is currently Fair relative to its historical range. On a free-cash-flow basis, the stock trades at 9.0x vs a median of 18.2x. The company's 5-year average ROIC is 15.8% with a gross margin of 48.2%. Total shareholder yield (buybacks) is 10.1%. At current prices, the estimated annualized return to fair value is +37.0%.
MATTEL INC /DE/ (MAT) has a net profit margin of 7.4%. This is a modest margin.
MATTEL INC /DE/ (MAT) generated $543 million in free cash flow in its most recent fiscal year. Positive free cash flow supports dividends, buybacks, and debt reduction.
MATTEL INC /DE/ (MAT) has a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.04. This indicates moderate leverage.
MATTEL INC /DE/ (MAT) reported earnings per share (EPS) of $1.24 in its most recent fiscal year.
MATTEL INC /DE/ (MAT) has a return on equity (ROE) of 17.7%. This indicates the company generates strong returns for shareholders.
MATTEL INC /DE/ (MAT) has a 5-year average gross margin of 48.2%. This indicates decent pricing power.
The Ledger Terminal provides 19 years of financial data for MATTEL INC /DE/ (MAT), sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. This includes income statements, balance sheets, cash flow statements, and key financial ratios.
MATTEL INC /DE/ (MAT) has a book value per share of $6.96, based on its most recent annual SEC filing.
Based on recent SEC filings and earnings disclosures, Management expects mid-to-high single-digit revenue growth in constant currency for 2027, with strong double-digit growth in adjusted operating income, benefiting from the brand-centric strategy, toy innovation, major partnerships, and returns from 2026 strategic investments in digital games and other capabilities. The company is positioned to benefit from an expanding theatrical slate including Masters of the Universe and Matchbox releases in 2026, with anticipated momentum from digital play including the addition of Mattel163 and self-published mobile game launches. Management remains confident in Barbie's long-term growth trajectory, expecting improving trends driven by new line architecture and product innovation, with the brand anticipated to return to growth in 2027. The company continues to monitor macroeconomic conditions and geopolitical developments, noting that current guidance includes a range of assumptions and scenarios subject to market volatility and potential regulatory actions impacting global trade.
Based on recent SEC filings and earnings calls, MATTEL INC /DE/ (MAT) has provided the following forward guidance: Net sales growth: 3%-6% (FY2026); Adjusted gross margin: approximately 50% (FY2026); Adjusted EPS: $1.27-$1.39 (FY2026); Revenue growth: mid-to-high single-digit (FY2027); Adjusted operating income growth: strong double-digit growth (FY2027).
No recent press releases.