A Business at a Glance
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TIMKEN CO
TKR
$9.9B
Mkt Cap
$141.30
+0.29%
TIMKEN CO (TKR) has a current P/E ratio of 34.4, compared to its historical median P/E of 14.1. The stock is currently considered Expensive based on its historical valuation range.
TIMKEN CO (TKR) has a 5-year average return on invested capital (ROIC) of 10.9%. This indicates solid capital allocation.
TIMKEN CO (TKR) has a market capitalization of $11.3B. It is classified as a large-cap stock.
Yes, TIMKEN CO (TKR) pays a dividend with a trailing twelve-month yield of 0.87%. The company also returns capital through share buybacks, with a buyback yield of 0.55%.
Based on historical P/E analysis, TIMKEN CO (TKR) appears expensive. The current P/E of 34.4 is 144% above its historical median of 14.1. The estimated fair value CAGR (P/E method) is 3.7%.
TIMKEN CO (TKR) operates in the Ball & Roller Bearings industry, within the Industrials sector.
TIMKEN CO (TKR) reported annual revenue of $4.6 billion in its most recent fiscal year, based on SEC EDGAR filings.
The Timken Company designs, manufactures, and manages a global portfolio of engineered bearings and industrial motion products, serving diverse industrial end-markets through a network of 116 manufacturing facilities, 29 technology centers, and 74 distribution centers across 44 countries with approximately 19,000 employees. The company's core competency centers on tapered roller bearings—a legacy expertise dating to its 1899 founding—which it has leveraged to develop a comprehensive range of engineered bearing products including spherical, cylindrical, and ball bearings, as well as plain bearings, thrust bearings, and housed bearings designed for demanding applications in transportation, industrial machinery, wind turbines, and infrastructure. The industrial motion segment encompasses acquired brands and platforms including GGB, Philadelphia Gear, Cone Drive, CGI, Rollon, Nadella, and lubrication systems, which serve automation, renewable energy, and heavy industries. Revenue is generated through a combination of original equipment manufacturer (OEM) sales, industrial distribution channels, and aftermarket services; the company sells to a highly diversified customer base with no single customer exceeding 5% of total sales, spanning sectors such as automotive OE, heavy truck OE, agriculture, rail, aerospace, renewable energy, construction, and metals and mining. Differentiation is built on application engineering expertise, product performance, quality, and customer service, supported by proprietary metallurgy and friction-management knowledge that enables high load-carrying capacity and extended service life. The company operates with a disciplined 80/20 portfolio approach focused on exiting underperforming businesses and prioritizing high-margin, fast-growing verticals and regions to structurally improve margins and accelerate organic growth.
【Margin expansion and volume recovery】 Management expects improved customer demand across most end markets supported by strengthening order activity and backlog growth, with organic revenue projected to grow 3% at the midpoint in 2026 driven by both pricing and modest volume contributions as trade uncertainty stabilizes. The company anticipates continued margin expansion through operational leverage on higher volumes, carryover pricing benefits, and structural cost savings from manufacturing efficiency initiatives and portfolio simplification under the 80/20 discipline, while managing headwinds from labor inflation and variable compensation. Strategic priorities include completing the divestiture of an underperforming business to improve Industrial Motion segment margins, integrating the Bijur Delimon acquisition to scale the automated lubrication systems platform, and extending 80/20 discipline across the enterprise to exit low-margin businesses and redeploy resources to fastest-growing verticals and regions. The company expects to deliver year-over-year earnings growth in every quarter of 2026 and generate approximately $350–375 million in free cash flow, maintaining disciplined capital allocation while continuing to pursue targeted acquisitions in high-return end-markets where synergies across engineered bearings and industrial motion segments create meaningful value.
| Metric | Target | Period |
|---|---|---|
| Organic revenue growth | 3% at midpoint | FY2026 |
| Total net sales growth | 4%-6% | FY2026 |
| Adjusted earnings per share | $5.75-$6.25 | FY2026 |
| Adjusted EPS growth | 13% at midpoint | FY2026 |
| Consolidated adjusted EBITDA margin | approximately 18% at midpoint | FY2026 |
| Free cash flow | $350 million-$375 million | FY2026 |
Organic revenue growth (FY2026): “Organically, we now expect revenue to be up 3% at the midpoint, a 1-point increase from the initial guide.”
Total net sales growth (FY2026): “Starting with net sales, we're raising our full year outlook to an increase of 4%-6% in total, up from the prior range of 2%-4%.”
Adjusted earnings per share (FY2026): “On the bottom line, we expect adjusted earnings per share in the range of $5.75- $6.25, up $0.25 at the midpoint versus the prior outlook.”
Adjusted EPS growth (FY2026): “Our outlook now implies 13% adjusted EPS growth at the midpoint of our range compared to the 8% we previously guided”
Consolidated adjusted EBITDA margin (FY2026): “The current earnings outlook implies that our 2026 consolidated adjusted EBITDA margin will be approximately 18% at the midpoint, up from 17.4% in 2025 and slightly higher than the prior guidance.”
Generated solely from the company's own reports listed below — not from third-party data. Hallucination risk is low. · Sources: 10-K, Q4 FY2025 Earnings Call, Q3 FY2025 Earnings Call, Q2 FY2025 Earnings Call, Q1 FY2025 Earnings Call
| Metric | TTM | FY2025 | FY2024 | FY2023 | FY2022 | FY2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 4.7B | 4.6B | 4.6B | 4.8B | 4.5B | 4.1B |
| Net Income | 308M | 288M | 353M | 394M | 407M | 369M |
| EPS | $4.13 | $4.11 | $4.99 | $5.47 | $5.48 | $4.79 |
| Free Cash Flow | 383M | 406M | 306M | 357M | 285M | 239M |
| ROIC | 8.5% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 11.8% |
| Gross Margin | - | 30.4% | 31.5% | 31.6% | 28.6% | 26.7% |
| Debt/Equity | 0.65 | 0.65 | 0.77 | 0.97 | 0.90 | 0.68 |
| Dividends/Share | $1.23 | $1.39 | $1.35 | $1.30 | $1.23 | $1.19 |
| Operating Income | 565M | 541M | 611M | 657M | 607M | 513M |
| Operating Margin | 12.1% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 13.8% | 13.5% | 12.4% |
| ROE | 9.6% | 9.6% | 13.0% | 16.2% | 17.9% | 16.6% |
| Shares Outstanding | 80M | 70M | 71M | 72M | 74M | 77M |
| Metric | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Income Statement | |||||||||||||
| Revenue | 3.1B | 2.9B | 2.7B | 3.0B | 3.6B | 3.8B | 3.5B | 4.1B | 4.5B | 4.8B | 4.6B | 4.6B | 4.7B |
| Gross Margin | 29.2% | 27.6% | 26.5% | 27.0% | 29.0% | 30.1% | 28.7% | 26.7% | 28.6% | 31.6% | 31.5% | 30.4% | N/A |
| R&D | 39M | 33M | 32M | 35M | 37M | 41M | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| SG&A | 543M | 494M | 440M | 508M | 581M | 619M | 534M | 581M | 637M | 741M | 752M | 748M | 765M |
| EBIT | 208M | -151M | 244M | 300M | 455M | 516M | 455M | 513M | 607M | 657M | 611M | 541M | 565M |
| Op. Margin | 6.8% | -5.3% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 13.6% | 12.9% | 12.4% | 13.5% | 13.8% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 12.1% |
| Net Income | 171M | -71M | 141M | 203M | 303M | 362M | 285M | 369M | 407M | 394M | 353M | 288M | 308M |
| Net Margin | 5.6% | -2.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% |
| Non-Recurring | 200M | 130M | 5.6M | 4.3M | 6.2M | 7.2M | 21M | 9.8M | 47M | 79M | 30M | 28M | 18M |
| Returns on Capital | |||||||||||||
| ROIC | 9.8% | -3.7% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 13.7% | 12.5% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 8.5% |
| ROE | 10.8% | -5.3% | 10.8% | 14.9% | 20.0% | 21.0% | 14.2% | 16.6% | 17.9% | 16.2% | 13.0% | 9.6% | 9.6% |
| ROA | 5.7% | -2.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% |
| Cash Flow | |||||||||||||
| Op. Cash Flow | 307M | 375M | 404M | 237M | 333M | 550M | 578M | 387M | 464M | 545M | 476M | 554M | 535M |
| Free Cash Flow | 180M | 269M | 266M | 132M | 220M | 410M | 456M | 239M | 285M | 357M | 306M | 406M | 383M |
| Owner Earnings | 148M | 226M | 258M | 74M | 154M | 362M | 387M | 199M | 269M | 313M | 228M | 296M | 273M |
| CapEx | 127M | 106M | 138M | 105M | 113M | 141M | 122M | 148M | 178M | 188M | 170M | 148M | 152M |
| Maint. CapEx | 137M | 131M | 132M | 138M | 146M | 161M | 167M | 168M | 164M | 201M | 222M | 230M | 234M |
| Growth CapEx | 0 | 0 | 5.8M | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14M | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| D&A | 137M | 131M | 132M | 138M | 146M | 161M | 167M | 168M | 164M | 201M | 222M | 230M | 234M |
| CapEx/OCF | 41.3% | 28.2% | 34.0% | 44.2% | 33.9% | 25.6% | 21.1% | 38.3% | 38.5% | 34.4% | 35.7% | 26.7% | 28.4% |
| Capital Allocation | |||||||||||||
| Dividends Paid | 90M | 87M | 82M | 83M | 86M | 85M | 87M | 92M | 92M | 94M | 96M | 98M | 99M |
| Dividend Yield | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Share Buybacks | 271M | 310M | 101M | 43M | 99M | 63M | 49M | 93M | 212M | 251M | 41M | 57M | 62M |
| Buyback Yield | 8.6% | 16.0% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Stock-Based Comp | 22M | 18M | 14M | 25M | 32M | 27M | 23M | 20M | 30M | 31M | 26M | 28M | 28M |
| Debt Repayment | 251M | 191M | 345M | 685M | 664M | 634M | 758M | 338M | 979M | 1.3B | 1.8B | 366M | 366M |
| Balance Sheet | |||||||||||||
| Net Debt | -28M | 397M | 499M | 824M | 1.5B | 1.6B | 1.3B | 1.3B | 1.7B | 2.1B | 1.8B | 1.7B | 1.7B |
| Cash & Equiv. | 279M | 130M | 149M | 122M | 133M | 210M | 320M | 257M | 332M | 419M | 373M | 364M | 345M |
| Long-Term Debt | 522M | 579M | 635M | 854M | 1.6B | 1.6B | 1.4B | 1.4B | 1.9B | 1.8B | 2.0B | 1.9B | 2.0B |
| Debt/Equity | 0.34 | 0.50 | 0.52 | 0.67 | 1.06 | 0.98 | 0.77 | 0.68 | 0.90 | 0.97 | 0.77 | 0.65 | 0.65 |
| Interest Coverage | 7.3 | -4.5 | 7.3 | 8.1 | 8.8 | 7.2 | 6.7 | 8.7 | 8.1 | 5.9 | 5.4 | 5.2 | 5.5 |
| Equity | 1.6B | 1.3B | 1.3B | 1.4B | 1.6B | 1.9B | 2.2B | 2.3B | 2.3B | 2.6B | 2.8B | 3.2B | 3.2B |
| Total Assets | 3.0B | 2.8B | 2.8B | 3.4B | 4.4B | 4.9B | 5.0B | 5.2B | 5.8B | 6.5B | 6.4B | 6.7B | 6.9B |
| Total Liabilities | 1.4B | 1.4B | 1.5B | 1.9B | 2.8B | 2.9B | 2.8B | 2.8B | 3.4B | 3.8B | 3.4B | 3.3B | -19M |
| Intangibles | 240M | 271M | 271M | 421M | 733M | 759M | 741M | 669M | 765M | 1.0B | 1.0B | 1.0B | 1.0B |
| Retained Earnings | 1.6B | 1.5B | 1.3B | 1.4B | 1.6B | 1.9B | 1.3B | 1.6B | 1.9B | 2.2B | 2.5B | 2.7B | 2.8B |
| Working Capital | 948M | 701M | 759M | 828M | 1.1B | 1.1B | 1.2B | 1.3B | 1.5B | 1.2B | 1.7B | 1.7B | 1.8B |
| Current Assets | 1.5B | 1.2B | 1.2B | 1.5B | 1.7B | 1.9B | 2.0B | 2.2B | 2.5B | 2.6B | 2.5B | 2.6B | 2.8B |
| Current Liabilities | 534M | 505M | 453M | 672M | 686M | 737M | 848M | 897M | 1.0B | 1.5B | 821M | 922M | 957M |
| Per Share Data | |||||||||||||
| EPS | 1.87 | -0.84 | 1.78 | 2.58 | 3.86 | 4.71 | 3.72 | 4.79 | 5.48 | 5.47 | 4.99 | 4.11 | 4.13 |
| Owner EPS | 1.62 | 2.68 | 3.26 | 0.94 | 1.97 | 4.71 | 5.06 | 2.59 | 3.62 | 4.35 | 3.23 | 4.22 | 3.41 |
| Book Value | 17.26 | 15.71 | 16.18 | 18.30 | 20.14 | 24.30 | 28.15 | 29.78 | 30.51 | 35.84 | 39.99 | 45.38 | 40.13 |
| Cash Flow/Share | 3.36 | 4.45 | 5.11 | 3.00 | 4.24 | 7.16 | 7.55 | 5.03 | 6.24 | 7.57 | 6.73 | 7.90 | 6.78 |
| Dividends/Share | 1.00 | 1.03 | 1.04 | 1.07 | 1.11 | 1.12 | 1.13 | 1.19 | 1.23 | 1.30 | 1.35 | 1.39 | 1.23 |
| Shares Out. | 91.3M | 84.3M | 79.1M | 78.8M | 78.4M | 76.9M | 76.5M | 77.1M | 74.3M | 72.0M | 70.7M | 70.2M | 79.9M |
| Valuation | |||||||||||||
| P/E Ratio | 18.4 | N/A | 18.7 | 16.2 | 8.3 | 10.8 | 18.9 | 13.5 | 12.1 | 14.1 | 14.0 | 21.0 | 34.2 |
| P/FCF | 17.4 | 7.2 | 9.9 | 25.0 | 11.5 | 9.5 | 11.8 | 20.8 | 17.2 | 15.6 | 16.2 | 14.9 | 29.5 |
| EV/EBIT | 14.9 | N/A | 17.1 | 13.4 | 8.7 | 10.1 | 14.1 | 11.6 | 10.3 | 11.8 | 10.3 | 13.5 | 23.0 |
| Price/Book | 2.0 | 1.5 | 2.1 | 2.3 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 2.5 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 3.5 |
| Price/Sales | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 2.4 |
| FCF Yield | 5.7% | 13.9% | 10.1% | 4.0% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 3.4% |
| Market Cap | 3.1B | 1.9B | 2.6B | 3.3B | 2.5B | 3.9B | 5.4B | 5.0B | 4.9B | 5.6B | 4.9B | 6.1B | 11.3B |
| Avg. Price | 33.84 | 28.52 | 27.15 | 38.79 | 39.36 | 40.83 | 46.63 | 71.18 | 60.26 | 74.93 | 80.03 | 74.42 | 141.30 |
| Year-End Price | 34.38 | 22.97 | 33.26 | 41.81 | 32.18 | 50.68 | 70.12 | 64.50 | 66.06 | 77.31 | 69.97 | 86.24 | 141.30 |
TIMKEN CO passes 3 of 9 quality checks, indicating weak fundamentals.
TIMKEN CO trades at 34.4x trailing earnings, compared to its 15-year median P/E of 14.1x, suggesting it is currently Expensive relative to its historical range. On a free-cash-flow basis, the stock trades at 24.2x vs a median of 15.2x. The company's 5-year average ROIC is 10.9% with a gross margin of 29.8%. Total shareholder yield (dividends + buybacks) is 1.4%. At current prices, the estimated annualized return to fair value is +2.4%.
TIMKEN CO (TKR) has a net profit margin of 6.3%. This is a modest margin.
TIMKEN CO (TKR) generated $406 million in free cash flow in its most recent fiscal year. Positive free cash flow supports dividends, buybacks, and debt reduction.
TIMKEN CO (TKR) has a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.65. This indicates moderate leverage.
TIMKEN CO (TKR) reported earnings per share (EPS) of $4.11 in its most recent fiscal year.
TIMKEN CO (TKR) has a return on equity (ROE) of 9.6%. This indicates moderate shareholder returns.
TIMKEN CO (TKR) has a 5-year average gross margin of 29.8%. This lower margin is typical of capital-intensive or commodity businesses.
The Ledger Terminal provides 17 years of financial data for TIMKEN CO (TKR), sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. This includes income statements, balance sheets, cash flow statements, and key financial ratios.
TIMKEN CO (TKR) has a book value per share of $45.38, based on its most recent annual SEC filing.
Based on recent SEC filings and earnings disclosures, Management expects improved customer demand across most end markets supported by strengthening order activity and backlog growth, with organic revenue projected to grow 3% at the midpoint in 2026 driven by both pricing and modest volume contributions as trade uncertainty stabilizes. The company anticipates continued margin expansion through operational leverage on higher volumes, carryover pricing benefits, and structural cost savings from manufacturing efficiency initiatives and portfolio simplification under the 80/20 discipline, while managing headwinds from labor inflation and variable compensation. Strategic priorities include completing the divestiture of an underperforming business to improve Industrial Motion segment margins, integrating the Bijur Delimon acquisition to scale the automated lubrication systems platform, and extending 80/20 discipline across the enterprise to exit low-margin businesses and redeploy resources to fastest-growing verticals and regions. The company expects to deliver year-over-year earnings growth in every quarter of 2026 and generate approximately $350–375 million in free cash flow, maintaining disciplined capital allocation while continuing to pursue targeted acquisitions in high-return end-markets where synergies across engineered bearings and industrial motion segments create meaningful value.
Based on recent SEC filings and earnings calls, TIMKEN CO (TKR) has provided the following forward guidance: Organic revenue growth: 3% at midpoint (FY2026); Total net sales growth: 4%-6% (FY2026); Adjusted earnings per share: $5.75-$6.25 (FY2026); Adjusted EPS growth: 13% at midpoint (FY2026); Consolidated adjusted EBITDA margin: approximately 18% at midpoint (FY2026), plus 1 additional metric.
Free cash flow (FY2026): “Moving to free cash flow, we expect to generate $350 million-$375 million for the full year, or approximately 105% conversion on GAAP net income at the midpoint.”
No recent press releases.