Retail Industry Report
Market Cap: $3.5T
Stocks: 104
Median P/E: 13.4x
Median ROIC: 5.0%
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR filings. Report refreshed weekly.
Part of the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Performance Dashboard
| Period | Sector (MCW) | Sector (Median) |
|---|---|---|
| 1 Day | -1.4% | -0.5% |
| 1 Week | -3.0% | +0.5% |
| 1 Month | — | — |
| 3 Months | — | — |
| 6 Months | — | — |
| YTD | -2.4% | +0.1% |
| 1 Year | +4.1% | +3.3% |
| 3 Years | +88.7% | -18.7% |
| 5 Years | +37.7% | -54.8% |
Today's Breadth: 29 advancing · 51 declining · 4 flat
Valuation Summary
| Metric | Median | P25 | P75 | vs 5Y Avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 13.4x | 5.1x | 27.3x | +6% |
| P/B | 1.5x | 0.6x | 3.2x | -33% |
| P/S | 0.4x | 0.1x | 1.1x | — |
| P/FCF | 10.4x | 3.7x | 24.6x | — |
| EV/EBITDA | 8.6x | 6.0x | 15.4x | — |
| EV/EBIT | 15.7x | 7.8x | 24.3x | — |
Earnings Yield
5.6%
FCF Yield
4.7%
Below Fair Value
45% of stocks
Profitability Profile
Margins
| Metric | Median | 5Y Avg | P25 | P75 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Margin | 37.4% | 37.2% | 30.5% | 51.6% |
| Operating Margin | 2.1% | — | -5.4% | 7.9% |
| Net Margin | 0.5% | 2.3% | -6.8% | 5.3% |
| FCF Margin | 3.7% | — | 0.7% | 6.3% |
Returns on Capital
| Metric | Median | 5Y Avg | P25 | P75 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROE | 2.0% | — | -21.6% | 15.5% |
| ROA | -0.3% | — | -9.3% | 6.6% |
| ROIC | 5.0% | 8.9% | -15.4% | 15.5% |
Growth Metrics
| Metric | 1Y | 3Y CAGR | 5Y CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +1.6% | -1.5% | +3.9% |
| EPS | +11.3% | +0.4% | +10.7% |
| Free Cash Flow | +12.6% | -4.0% | -7.6% |
All values represent sector median growth rates.
Balance Sheet Health
Debt / Equity
0.6x
Net Debt / EBITDA
1.6x
Interest Coverage
2.0x
Current Ratio
1.2x
Altman Z-Score
Safe (>3): 24 (27%)
Gray (1.8–3): 23 (26%)
Distress (<1.8): 43 (48%)
Piotroski F-Score
Strong (7–9): 15 (14%)
Moderate (4–6): 68 (65%)
Weak (0–3): 21 (20%)
Top Companies
| Symbol | #▲ | Mkt Cap | P/E | EV/EBITDA | ROIC | Net Mgn | Rev Gr. | Div Yld | YTD | Qual. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMZN | 1 | $2.6T | 32.4x | 16.9x | 21.6% | 10.8% | +12.4% | — | -3.0% | 3/9 |
| HD | 2 | $338.8B | 25.9x | 17.5x | 30.2% | 9.3% | +4.5% | 2.3% | +0.7% | 5/9 |
| LOW | 3 | $140.6B | 21.2x | 14.7x | 34.5% | 8.3% | -3.1% | 1.7% | +0.1% | 4/9 |
| ORLY | 4 | $80.3B | 31.1x | 21.3x | 61.9% | 14.3% | +6.4% | — | +1.0% | 6/9 |
| AZO | 5 | $60.6B | 29.0x | 19.2x | 66.7% | 13.2% | +2.4% | — | -4.8% | 6/9 |
| THG-L | 6 | $41.9B | -1.8x | — | -12.1% | -18.6% | -4.5% | — | — | 0/9 |
| JD | 7 | $41.1B | 8.4x | 3.0x | 70.0% | 3.6% | +5.2% | 2.4% | -2.6% | 8/9 |
| CPNG | 8 | $38.1B | 220.6x | 35.2x | 6.5% | 0.6% | +14.1% | — | 0.0% | 2/9 |
| ULTA | 9 | $25.0B | 14.5x | — | 130.2% | 10.6% | +0.8% | — | -16.3% | 6/9 |
| DKS | 10 | $17.5B | 17.3x | 3.8x | 66.3% | 8.7% | +3.5% | 1.8% | -1.0% | 7/9 |
| CDW | 11 | $17.4B | 17.2x | 12.5x | 15.0% | 4.8% | +6.8% | 1.8% | +3.5% | 3/9 |
| BBY | 12 | $13.2B | 19.2x | 7.5x | — | 2.2% | -4.4% | 4.6% | +0.0% | 4/9 |
| CHWY | 13 | $10.9B | 41.0x | — | — | 3.3% | +6.4% | — | -4.5% | 5/9 |
| BLDR | 14 | $9.8B | 26.7x | 11.4x | 8.0% | 2.9% | -7.4% | — | +4.7% | 5/9 |
| W | 15 | $9.3B | — | 46.1x | 0.5% | -2.5% | +5.1% | — | +8.3% | 0/9 |
| GME | 16 | $9.3B | 75.9x | 7.9x | — | 3.4% | -27.5% | — | +0.3% | 0/9 |
| FCFS | 17 | $9.1B | 21.6x | 8.6x | 9.2% | 9.0% | +8.0% | 1.0% | -1.3% | 5/9 |
| VIPS | 18 | $6.1B | 5.0x | 1.2x | 56.2% | 7.1% | -5.5% | — | +2.6% | 8/9 |
| FND | 19 | $5.5B | 32.6x | 12.8x | 9.3% | 4.5% | +5.1% | — | -1.1% | 2/9 |
| BOOT | 20 | $4.8B | 17.7x | — | 18.4% | 9.5% | +14.6% | — | -3.8% | 5/9 |
Industry Composition
| Industry | Stocks | Market Cap | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Retail-Catalog & Mail-Order Houses | 22 | $2.7T | 75.9% | |
| Retail-Lumber & Other Building Materials Dealers | 5 | $494.6B | 14.0% | |
| Retail-Auto & Home Supply Stores | 6 | $145.2B | 4.1% | |
| Retail-Retail Stores, Nec | 13 | $74.8B | 2.1% | |
| Specialty Retail | 19 | $62.9B | 1.8% | |
| Retail-Miscellaneous Shopping Goods Stores | 4 | $21.7B | 0.6% | |
| Retail-Miscellaneous Retail | 15 | $17.8B | 0.5% | |
| Retail-Radio, Tv & Consumer Electronics Stores | 1 | $13.2B | 0.4% | |
| Retail-Computer & Computer Software Stores | 3 | $9.3B | 0.3% | |
| Retail-Shoe Stores | 4 | $6.0B | 0.2% | |
| Retail-Jewelry Stores | 3 | $4.3B | 0.1% | |
| Retail-Women'S Clothing Stores | 2 | $4.1B | 0.1% | |
| Retail-Apparel & Accessory Stores | 6 | $1.3B | 0.0% | |
| Retail-Hobby, Toy & Game Shops | 1 | $507M | 0.0% |
Quality Distribution
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Quality Score (0-9)
High Quality (7+)
4%
Median Piotroski F
5/9
Profitable Years
5 of 10
Dividends & Shareholder Returns
Paying Dividends
29%
Median Div Yield
2.3%
Median Buyback Yield
1.1%
Shareholder Yield
2.3%
Payout Ratio
31.2%
Div Growth (3Y)
4.4%
Div Growth (5Y)
11.3%
Strengths & Weaknesses
Strengths
No notable strengths identified.
Weaknesses
- −[Cash Flow]Deteriorating cash flow with a median 5-year FCF CAGR of -7.6%, raising sustainability concerns for capital allocation.
- −[Financial Health]47.8% of companies fall in the Altman Z-Score distress zone (<1.8), indicating elevated bankruptcy risk within the sector.
- −[Leverage]Tight interest coverage at 2.0x, leaving limited cushion for debt servicing if earnings decline.
- −[Profitability]Below-average capital returns with a median ROIC of 5.0%, suggesting limited pricing power or capital-intensive operations.